Mortgage rates are surging.

Over the last 7 days, conventional, 30-year fixed rate mortgage rates have jumped 24 basis points, or 0.24%, according to Freddie Mac‘s weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey.

It’s the largest 1-week spike in mortgage rates in recent history.

The 30-year fixed rate mortgage now averages 5.05% nationally. This is much, much higher than what we saw last November when mortgage rates were 4.17% and looked headed to the 3s.

That’s not the case today. In fact, it’s the opposite.

Mortgage rates have risen quickly and fiercely this year. As of this morning, mortgage rates are higher over 9 consecutive days, marking the longest mortgage rate losing streak in the last 6 years, at least.

Note, however, that when you call your loan officer or bank, you may not be quoted the same 5.05% rate as shown by Freddie Mac. This is because Freddie Mac-reported rates are national averages. Any given mortgage rate may be higher or lower depending on its region.

As an illustration, look how this week’s rates breaks down by area:

• Northeast : 5.07 with 0.7 points
• Southeast : 4.99 with 0.9 points
• North Central : 5.09 with 0.6 points
• Southeast : 5.06 with 0.6 points
• West : 5.02 with 0.8 points

In other words, the rate-and-fee combination you’d be offered in your home town of Tacoma is different from what you’d be offered if you lived somewhere else. In the Southeast, rates tend to be low and fees tend to be high; in the North Central U.S., it’s the opposite.

The good news is that, as a mortgage applicant, you can have your pricing whichever way you prefer. If getting the absolute lowest mortgage rate is what’s most important to you, have your loan officer structure your loan as in the “Southeast Style”. Or, if you prefer to have as few closing costs as possible and don’t mind slightly higher rates, ask for that type of set-up instead.

Either way, consider locking your rate as soon as possible. If rates keep rising, it won’t be long before they touch 6 percent.

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Mortgage markets worsened last week as Wall Street came to terms with the expanding economy; and realized the Federal Reserve may be trying to induce inflation.

Better-than-expected retail sales and positive job growth buoyed stock markets and sank bonds.

Mortgage rates in Washington rose for the 4th time in 5 weeks last week, extending a losing streak which dates back 4 months.

Today, fixed, conforming rates are three-quarters of a percent higher as compared to the market’s low point, November 3, 2010. For a $200,000 home loan, that size rate hike equates to an increase in a monthly mortgage payment of $89 per month.

Mortgage rates are at their highest levels of the year and, this week, they may continue ticking higher.

There isn’t much data set for release this week so markets will take their cues from two major events — one economic and one political.

The major economic event is Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke‘s testimony to the House Budget Committee late-Wednesday. Chairman Bernanke is expected to speak about employment, but will likely touch on other topics of import including economic growth, the U.S. dollar, and the nation’s debt ceiling.

The Fed Chairman’s comments will move mortgage rates in one direction or the other, so locking in advance of his testimony may be prudent. Mortgage rates have more room to rise than to fall, after all.

The second major event is Egypt‘s ongoing political strife. By Thursday of last week, Wall Street had shrugged off the region’s crisis and unwound the safe-haven trades that had helped mortgage rates during the week prior.

If instability returns, mortgage rates, once again, will be pressured lower.

Regardless of your rate-locking plan for this week, it’s important to recognize that, although rates have risen, they’re still well below historical average. Therefore, rates may have a lot of room to move higher, still.

If you’re shopping for a mortgage, or are now under contract, consider locking your rate as soon as possible.

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Mortgage markets worsened last week in a holiday-shortened trading week.

As the body of U.S. economic data continues to show slow, steady improvement, Wall Street is becoming a net-seller of mortgage-backed bonds. As a result, conforming mortgages rates in Washington are rising.

This is why conforming and FHA mortgage rates rose last week in Washington. Existing home supplies plunged to a 2-year low in December, and unemployment claims dropped more than expected, giving hope for the U.S. economy in 2011.

This week, that trend may continue. There’s a lot of news set for release.

The biggest story of the week is Federal Open Market Committee‘s 2-day meeting. Scheduled for Tuesday and Wednesday, the FOMC’s meeting is the first of its 8 scheduled meetings this year.

In it, the FOMC is expected to vote the Fed Funds Rate unchanged in its target range near 0.000 percent, but it won’t be what the Fed does that’s so important to mortgage markets — it will be what the Fed says. Wall Street will be watching the FOMC’s post-meeting press release for clues about the economy, and the central banker’s next steps. From what it reads, Wall Street will react.

This week is also heavy on housing data.

Following up on last week’s Existing Home Sales and Housing Starts figures, this week features 4 additional releases:

1. Case-Shiller Index (Tuesday)
2. Home Price Index (Tuesday)
3. New Home Sales (Wednesday)
4. Pending Home Sales (Thursday)

Strength in housing should lead mortgage rates higher as it becomes more clear that the sector is on solid ground.

Since November 3, mortgage rates have been trending higher in Seattle and Gig Harbor and across the country. The Refi Boom is over, but low rates remain — for now. If you’ve yet to lock a mortgage rate, consider doing it soon.

Before long, rates won’t be so low.

Related articles

• Summary Box: Key mortgage rate rises to 4.74 pct. (seattletimes.nwsource.com)
• Home-Mortgage Rates Steady (online.wsj.com)

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If there’s anything we’ve learned from the subprime meltdown of 2008 and crash of 1987, it’s that we should all proceed with caution when borrowing money to purchase or refinance a home. The type of mortgage you choose can mean the difference between one day owning your home outright or finding yourself in the middle of a foreclosure or even a bankruptcy.

via 5 Risky Mortgage Types To Avoid.

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With 2010 coming to a close, the “experts” are out in full force, making predictions for next year’s housing and mortgage markets on business television and in the papers.

Predictions for 2011 are wide-ranging:

• Some say home prices will rise in 2011
• Some say home prices will fall in 2011
• Some say mortgage rates will rise in 2011
• Some say mortgage rates will fall in 2011

The problem with housing and mortgage predictions is that — like all predictions — they’re just educated guesses about the future. Nobody knows what will really happen with the housing and mortgage markets in 2011. All anyone can do is theorize. As laypersons, though, it can be hard to separate theory from fact.

Television can make that task even more difficult at times.

As an example, when a well-dressed economist goes on CNBC and presents a clear, succinct argument for why home prices will fall on 2011, we’re inclined to believe the analysis and conclusion. After all, the outcome seems plausible outcome given the facts. But then, immediately after, a different economist presents an opposite argument — that home prices will rise in 2011 – and her analysis seems sound, too.

Even Freddie Mac can’t see the future.

Last year, the government group predicted mortgage rates to 6 percent in 2010. That never happened, of course. Instead, conforming mortgage rates dropped over a 7-month period this year to levels best be described as “historic”.  Freddie Mac couldn’t have been more wrong.

So, what’s a Seattle homeowner to believe?

About the only thing that’s certain right now is that mortgage rates remain low by historical standards, and that home prices do, too. Also, that both housing and mortgage markets appear to be riding momentum higher into 2011.  This suggests that it will be more expensive to buy and finance a home by the end of 2011.

Until that time, however, predictions are just guesses.

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We are already seeing some innovative wholesale lenders tightening the screws on third-party originators in order to get the loans they need with as little risk as possible. That’s translating into lower pay for front-line originators.

via The nation’s disconnect on loan officer compensation « HousingWire.

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• Housing Shaky as Lenders Tighten (online.wsj.com)
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Both 30 Year and 15 Year Fixed Rates clipped down to their lowest levels. All this is incredible as just months ago, many experts had anticipated that rates would be well above 5% this summer and on their way to 6% by year end.

Last month, NBC reported that nearly 50% of all people with a 30 Year Fixed rate had rates higher than 5.75% – do you know where your interest rate is at currently? It’s worth a look, and a call to me to help check it out!

Plus – in most parts of the country, home values as reported by both the National Association of Realtors and the S&P Case-Shiller Indices are higher than last year. If you were unable to refinance last year, the combination of your current home value and historic interest rates may provide you a greater opportunity to save money than ever before.

Finally, even if your home has lost value from when your loan was originated, you may still be able to refinance. There are some special programs available that might allow you to refinance without private mortgage insurance, even if your loan will now exceed 80% of the present value.

Don’t miss this chance to save money. Even if you have already taken advantage of the historic rates that have been offered, don’t miss this chance to help your family and friends. Call me today and we can discuss what options exist for you.

Time waits for no one…and when rates rise, they will rise quickly.

WA Home Loans, WA Mortgage Rates, Seattle Mortgage Rates, Seattle Home Loans, Gig Harbor Home Loans, Gig Harbor Mortgage

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One month after the federal homebuyer tax credit’s official expiration, the New Home Sales report turned in its worst showing ever.

In May 2010, for the first time in 11 months, the inventory of unsold new homes crossed the 8-month marker, posting an 8.5 month supply overall.

Additionally, new homes sales volume fell to 300,000 units nationwide — a drop of 32% and its lowest level since the Commerce Department started tracking data in 1963.

Now, universally, the press is referring to the May New Home Sales report as “poor“.  A closer look, however, shows that may not be the case.

For one, we have to keep New Home Sales in perspective as a percentage of overall home sales. Yes, there were just 300,000 new homes sold in May, but there were also 5.66 million “existing” homes sold.

New Home Sales, therefore, accounted for just 5 percent of the total housing market — a very small percentage.

Another reason why the weak New Home Sales data isn’t so awful is that, when New Home Sales stall, it actually benefits home buyers.  Excess supply puts a strain on sellers which, in turn, gives buyers a tremendous amount of leverage in negotiation.

When home inventories are high, builders are more apt to appease their customers in hopes of making a sale.  For Tacoma home buyers, this can result in buying a better product at a lower price.

Especially with builder confidence plummeting.

Since February 2009, housing has shown steady gains. There’s been both peaks and valleys across units, inventories, and prices, but overall, the market is improving.  May’s New Home Sales data shows how now may an opportune time to “buy new”.

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Today, in its first meeting in 5 weeks, the Federal Open Market Committee voted 9-to-1 to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged.

The Fed Fund Rate remains within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

In its press release, the FOMC said that, since April, “the economic recovery is proceeding” and that the jobs market “is improving gradually”. Business spending “has risen significantly”, too, with the exception of commercial real estate.

Today’s statement is the 8th straight press release in which the Fed shows optimism for the U.S. economy, dating back to June 2009.  Since that time, the Fed has terminated all of the programs it created to support the economy through the economic crisis.

The recession is widely believed to be over.

And, although the Fed’s statement acknowledged economic growth, it did highlight lingering threats, too.

1. Employers are still reluctant to hire new workers
2. European debt concerns could spill-over to the U.S.
3. Bank lending is contracting

Also, as expected, the Fed re-affirmed its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent “for an extended period”, citing that “inflation has trended lower” recently.

Mortgage market reaction has been positive thus far. Mortgage rates in Washington are slightly improved post-FOMC.

The FOMC’s next scheduled meeting is August 10, 2010.

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