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	<title>Your Mortgage Planner 2.0 Blog &#187; Your Mortgage Planner 2.0 Blog</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.myequitypro.com/category/economy/existing-home-sales/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
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	<description>The Skinny From A Top Player In The Mortgage World</description>
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		<title>Existing Home Supply Down 40% In Last 6 Months</title>
		<link>http://www.myequitypro.com/2011/02/24/existing-home-sales-january-2011/</link>
		<comments>http://www.myequitypro.com/2011/02/24/existing-home-sales-january-2011/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Feb 2011 13:53:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>yourmortgageplanner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[existing home sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Supplies,Housing Data,Distressed Sales]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.myequitypro.com/2011/02/24/existing-home-sales-january-2011/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Home resales rose another 2.7 percent last month, according to the National Association of REALTORSÂ® monthly Existing Home Sales report.


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to William Doom and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px;" title="Existing Home Supply (Jan 2010 - Jan 2011)" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-supply-201101.png" alt="Existing Home Supply (Jan 2010 - Jan 2011)" width="216" height="302" />Home resales r<a title="Existing Home Sales report January 2011" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2011/02/january_above" target="_blank">ose another 2.7 percent</a> last month, according to the National Association of REALTORS&reg; monthly Existing Home Sales report.</p>
<p>An &#8220;existing home&#8221; is a home that&#8217;s been previously occupied and is not considered new construction.</p>
<p>The number of existing homes sold on a rolling 12-month basis is now at its highest point since May 2010, the month before the federal homebuyer tax credit ended. It&#8217;s also up <a title="Existing Home Sales raw data January 2011" href="http://www.realtor.org/ro/research/424e35dc664c59384805a3b9ecebaf22/rel1101ehs.pdf" target="_blank">some 40% since July 2010</a>, the month <em>after </em>the tax credit ended.</p>
<p>But that&#8217;s not the biggest story in the Existing Home Sales report. The precipitous decline in home inventory deserves more attention.</p>
<p>At the current pace of sales, the complete, national home resale inventory will be sold in 7.6 months. This is close to 5 months faster as compared to last year&#8217;s peak, and well below the 2-year home supply average of 9.0 months.&nbsp;There more buyers in the market, it seems, and fewer homes from which they can choose.</p>
<p>Total home resale inventory is down to just 3.38 million homes nationwide &#8212; the fewest in 12 months.</p>
<p>There were other interesting statistics in the <a title="Existing Home Sales report January 2011" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2011/02/january_above" target="_blank">official Existing Home Sales report</a>, including a break-down of purchases by buyer-type.</p>
<ul>
<li>First-time buyers accounted for 29% of purchases, down from 33% in January</li>
<li>Repeat homebuyers accounted for 48% of purchases, up from 47% in January</li>
<li>Investors accounted for 23% of of purchases, up from 20% in January</li>
</ul>
<p>In addition, distressed sales &#8212; foreclosures and short sales &#8212; made up 37 percent of the market.</p>
<p>Over the next few days, more housing data will hit the wires and it&#8217;s expected to show similar strength to January&#8217;s Existing Home Sales report. With falling supplies and a growing base of move-up buyers, home prices in Gig Harbor and around the country are expected to rise in the coming months ahead.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Home Supplies Plummet, Putting Pressure On Prices To Rise</title>
		<link>http://www.myequitypro.com/2011/01/21/existing-home-sales-december-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.myequitypro.com/2011/01/21/existing-home-sales-december-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 21 Jan 2011 13:56:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>yourmortgageplanner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[existing home sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Supplies,Home Sales,Mortgage Rates]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.myequitypro.com/2011/01/21/existing-home-sales-december-2010/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[According to the National Association of REALTORSÂ®, seasonally-adjusted, annualized Existing Home Sales figures climbed by more than a half-million units in December as compared to November. It's the 3rd straight month of home resale improvement nationwide.


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to William Doom and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 10px; margin-right: 10px;" title="Existing Home Supply 2009-2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-supply-201012.png" alt="Existing Home Supply 2009-2010" width="216" height="302" />Existing Home Sales <a title="Existing Home Sales December 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2011/01/sharp_rise" target="_blank">surged 12 percent</a> last month, closing 2010&#8242;s housing market with strength. An &#8220;existing home&#8221; is a home that cannot be categorized as new construction; a resale.</p>
<p>According to the National Association of REALTORS&reg;, seasonally-adjusted, annualized Existing Home Sales figures climbed by more than a half-million units in December as compared to November.&nbsp;It&#8217;s the 3rd straight month of home resale improvement nationwide.</p>
<p>Sales volume is now as high as it&#8217;s been <a title="NAR data on Existing Home Sales" href="http://www.realtor.org/wps/wcm/connect/a33c7f80457a37d290b9d3342c47dc89/REL1012EHS.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&amp;CACHEID=a33c7f80457a37d290b9d3342c47dc89" target="_blank">since May 2010</a> &#8212; just after the federal home buyer tax credit&#8217;s expiration.</p>
<p>In addition, the number of months needed to sell the complete, current home inventory at the current pace of sales fell by 1.4 months, tying December for the biggest one-month home supply improvement in 2 years.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s yet another signal that the housing market is in recovery.&nbsp;Not that this data should surprise anyone. November&#8217;s Pending Home Sales report <a title="Pending Home Sales November 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/wps/wcm/connect/509661004539423c9ed0be0d0dd423ff/PHS1011.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&amp;CACHEID=509661004539423c9ed0be0d0dd423ff" target="_blank">told us to expect it</a>&nbsp;two weeks ago.</p>
<p>Broken down by buyer-type, home sales split as follows:</p>
<ul>
<li>First-time home buyers : 33% of all sales</li>
<li>Repeat buyers : 47% of all sales</li>
<li>Real estate investors : 20% of all sales</li>
</ul>
<p>Cash buyers represented 29 percent of all transaction, down 2 ticks from November. This may suggest that mortgage guidelines are loosening &#8212; another sign of economic improvement.</p>
<p>So, take note, Seattle home buyers. This spring, along with mortgage rates, home values should rise, too. Expect less &#8220;bang for your buck&#8221; as the housing recovery takes hold here in Queen Anne and across the nation.</p>
<p>The best deals of the year may be the ones made this month.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Home Inventory Dwindles Into The New Year</title>
		<link>http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/12/23/existing-home-sales-november-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/12/23/existing-home-sales-november-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 23 Dec 2010 13:54:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>yourmortgageplanner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[existing home sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales, Home Supply, Home Values]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/12/23/existing-home-sales-november-2010/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales jumped another 6 percent in November, the report's third month of improvement since bottoming in July. 


No related posts.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to William Doom and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Supply (Nov 2009 - Nov 2010)" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-supply-201011.png" alt="Existing Home Supply (Nov 2009 - Nov 2010)" width="216" height="302" />Existing Home Sales <a title="Existing Home Sales November 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/12/existing_prices" target="_blank">jumped another 6 percent</a> in November, the report&#8217;s third month of improvement since bottoming in July.</p>
<p>According to the National Association of REALTORS&reg;, a quarter-million more existing homes were sold during the annual period ending in November as compared to October.&nbsp; An &#8220;existing home&#8221; is a home that cannot be considered new construction.</p>
<p>Additionally, the national housing supply dropped by a full month. At the current pace of existing home sales, the complete stock of homes for sale will be <a title="Existing Home Sales data" href="http://www.realtor.org/wps/wcm/connect/bd3dd180452126fc818ec35d6aeab3b5/REL1011EHS.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&amp;CACHEID=bd3dd180452126fc818ec35d6aeab3b5" target="_blank">exhausted in 9.5 months</a>.</p>
<p>November&#8217;s strong housing data is yet another signal to buyers in Seattle that the housing market&#8217;s foundation has been rebuilt, and that a rebound is imminent.&nbsp; It&#8217;s helped that there are great &#8220;deals&#8221; on which for buyers to pounce.</p>
<p>In November, short sales and foreclosures accounted for one-third of all existing homes sold, and carried an average price discount of 10 percent and 15 percent, respectively, as compared to non-distressed sales.</p>
<p>Repeat buyers continue to power the market, too, representing more than half of all home buyers.</p>
<ul>
<li>First-time buyers : 32% of all buyers</li>
<li>Investors : 19% of all buyers</li>
<li>Repeat buyers : 51% of all buyers</li>
</ul>
<p>This breakdown suggests that housing has regained its footing. First-time buyers can&#8217;t support a market long-term like repeat buyers can and, as compared to 12 months ago, the percentage of repeat buyers is now up 14 points.</p>
<p>Home buyers take note. Raw sales volume is rising and available inventory is dropping. Basic supply-and-demand tells us that this will lead home prices higher. Furthermore, mortgage rates are rising quickly, increasing the cost of homeownership.</p>
<p>If buying a home is a part of your plan for 2011, consider accelerating your purchase time frame. Existing homes account for more than 80% of homes sold nationwide. If the market keeps improving like this, your home affordability will worsen.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>October Existing Home Sales : Buyers And Sellers In Balance</title>
		<link>http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/11/24/existing-home-sales-october-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/11/24/existing-home-sales-october-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Nov 2010 13:53:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>yourmortgageplanner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[existing home sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales,NAR,Home Supply]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/11/24/existing-home-sales-october-2010/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It's encouraging that first-time and investment property buyers were both outnumbered by "move-up" buyers in October; buyers that have sold their respective homes in favor of larger ones.


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to William Doom and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Supply (Oct 2009-2010)" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-supply-201010.png" alt="Existing Home Supply (Oct 2009-2010)" width="216" height="302" />After two months of surging sales, home resales <a title="Existing Home Sales October 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/11/october_retreat" target="_blank">fell by 100,000 units</a> last month to 4.4 million homes nationwide.</p>
<p>October&#8217;s Existing Home Sales tally is slightly below the report&#8217;s <a title="Existing Home Sales data" href="http://www.realtor.org/wps/wcm/connect/0b3c4a0044c8021d9215d25d6aeab3b5/REL1010EHS.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&amp;CACHEID=0b3c4a0044c8021d9215d25d6aeab3b5" target="_blank">6-month rolling average</a>, according to the National Association of REALTORS&reg; &#8212; a time span which includes this year&#8217;s $8,000 federal home buyer tax credit&#8217;s tail end.</p>
<p>Housing statistics have been wildly inconsistent during that period.</p>
<p>For the future of Gig Harbor housing markets, though, it&#8217;s encouraging that first-time and investment property buyers were both outnumbered by &#8220;move-up&#8221; buyers; buyers that have sold their respective homes in favor of larger ones. It&#8217;s the move-up buyers that power housing.</p>
<p>In October, buyer profiles broke down as follows:</p>
<ul>
<li>First-time buyers : 32 percent of all buyers, unchanged from September</li>
<li>Repeat home buyers : 49 percent of all buyers, down one tick from September</li>
<li>Investors : 19 percent of all buyers, up one tick from September</li>
</ul>
<p>As a point of comparison, first-timers represented 50 percent of all purchases in October 2009.</p>
<p>For Queen Anne home buyers, October&#8217;s Existing Home Sales report is neither weak nor strong. It signals that, with mortgage rates low and home affordability high, housing may be reaching some form of balance. Because &#8212; although home sales are down &#8212; home supplies<em> </em>are down, too.</p>
<p>We can infer that buyers outnumber sellers, but probably not by much. In most areas, negotiation leverage is still up for grabs.</p>
<p>At the current pace of sales, the complete housing stock would be depleted in 10.6 months.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Existing Home Sales Rebound In August, Give Hope For Autumn</title>
		<link>http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/09/24/existing-home-sales-august-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/09/24/existing-home-sales-august-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 24 Sep 2010 12:53:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>yourmortgageplanner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[existing home sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales,Home Supply]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/09/24/existing-home-sales-august-2010/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sales of existing homes in recovered in August, perhaps the result of a post-tax credit normalization.


No related posts.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to William Doom and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Supply (August 2009 - Augsut 2010)" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-supply-201008.png" alt="Existing Home Supply (August 2009 - Augsut 2010)" width="216" height="302" />Sales of existing homes in recovered in August, perhaps the result of a post-tax credit normalization.</p>
<p>As compared to July, Existing Home Sales <a title="Existing Home Sales August 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/09/ehs_move" target="_blank">rose 8 percent in August</a>, buoyed by falling interest rates and slow-to-rise home prices. There&#8217;s lot of &#8220;good deals&#8221; out there and home buyers in Tacoma are taking advantage.</p>
<p>The housing gains are relative, however. August&#8217;s total units sold barely crossed 4 million and still trails the average figures of the last few years by close to 1 million units.</p>
<p>Despite that, the August Existing Home Sales report can be <a title="CNN story on Existing Home Sales" href="http://money.cnn.com/2010/09/23/news/economy/existing_home_sales/?section=money_latest" target="_blank">considered a strong one</a>. This is for several reasons:</p>
<ol>
<li>Sales volume increased in August without tax credit or government intervention</li>
<li>Sales growth is not limited by geography. All 4 regions &#8212; Northeast, Southeast, Midwest, and West &#8212; showed improvement last month.</li>
<li>Repeat buyers are driving the market, representing 48 percent of sales, up from forty-three percent in July.</li>
</ol>
<p>And, perhaps most important to the housing market market, the number of available home resales dropped by almost one full month last month.&nbsp; At the current sales pace, the national inventory would be depleted in 11.6 months.</p>
<p>For home buyers, the data presents an interesting opportunity. With average mortgage rates rising from <a title="Freddie Mac September 23 2010" href="http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/release.html?week=38&amp;year=2010" target="_blank">their best levels ever</a> and home affordability cresting in places like Magnolia , this autumn may represent the turn-around point for the housing market nationwide.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re planning to move in early-2011, consider moving up your time frame.</p>
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		<title>Existing Home Sales Plummet In July; Home Buyers Gain Leverage</title>
		<link>http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/08/25/existing-home-sales-july-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/08/25/existing-home-sales-july-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Aug 2010 12:56:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>yourmortgageplanner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[existing home sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales,Home Supply,Home Values]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The number of home resales plunged by 1.4 million units in July. Home buyers may uncover opportunities for a deal.


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to William Doom and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Sales July 2009 - July 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-sales-201007.png" alt="Existing Home Sales July 2009 - July 2010" width="216" height="302" />The number of home resales <a title="Existing Home Sales July 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/08/ehs_fall" target="_blank">plunged by 1.4 million units in July</a>, according to the National Association of Realtors&reg;&#8217; Existing Home Sales report.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s a drop of 27 percent from June; single-family home resales are at the report&#8217;s lowest levels since May 1999.</p>
<p>Furthermore, because of the sharp drop in sales volume, home inventories are spiking.</p>
<p>Homes for sale nationwide fell just short of 4 million units in July and, at the current sales paces, it would take 12.5 months for the existing inventory to be absorbed.</p>
<p>Home supply was just 8.9 months in June.</p>
<p>For home sellers in Gig Harbor , the Existing Home Sales report is a bit of bad news.&nbsp; Fewer sales and larger inventories put negotiation leverage in the hands of the buyers which, in turn, creates downward pressure on home prices.&nbsp; It may also increase time-on-market.</p>
<p>For home <em>buyers</em>, however, the data is decidedly welcome. After a stimulus-driven spring buying season that favored sellers, the summer and early-fall market seem to favor buyers. More choices and more leverage is a positive.</p>
<p>It helps that home affordability is up, too.&nbsp;</p>
<p>Although there&#8217;s reports that home values are rising, their modest gains are more than countered by the ongoing rally in mortgage rates. Freddie Mac says that 30-year fixed rate mortgage rates are at their lowest levels in history and, at today&#8217;s rates, every one-eighth drop in mortgage rates roughly offsets a 1.5% increase to home price.</p>
<p>Mortgage rates are down 0.75 percent since mid-April.</p>
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		<title>Existing Home Sales Drop In June But Hint At Support For Higher Price Tiers</title>
		<link>http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/07/23/existing-home-sales-june-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/07/23/existing-home-sales-june-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 23 Jul 2010 12:46:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>yourmortgageplanner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[existing home sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales,Home Supply]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/07/23/existing-home-sales-june-2010/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Consistent with most post-home buyer tax credit housing news, Existing Home Sales eased lower last month. The 5 percent drop in sales was expected, but a closer look at the month's data reveals some interesting trends.


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to William Doom and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Supply (June 2009 - June 2010)" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-supply-201007.png" alt="Existing Home Supply (June 2009 - June 2010)" width="216" height="302" />Consistent with most post-home buyer tax credit housing news, the National Association of Realtors&reg; says <a title="Existing Home Sales report June 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/07/ehs_june_above" target="_blank">Existing Home Sales eased lower</a> last month.</p>
<p>An &#8220;existing home&#8221; is a home that cannot be considered new construction.</p>
<p>The 5 percent drop in sales from May to June was expected, but a closer look at the month&#8217;s data reveals some interesting trends.</p>
<p>First, repeat buyers accounted for 44 percent of home resales in June, up from 40 percent in May. That&#8217;s a healthy increase for just 4 weeks&#8217; time and the tax credit is a likely catalyst. First-timer buyers bought starter homes owned by <em>former</em> first-timers, who were then free to &#8220;move up&#8221; to larger, more expensive property.</p>
<p>Housing markets can be trickle-up and, not coincidentally, the jumbo/luxury housing market is now in <a title="Jumbo housing market returns" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703609004575354823959760374.html" target="_blank">the midst of rebound</a>.</p>
<p>Second, June&#8217;s &#8220;distressed sales&#8221; accounted for 32 percent of all home resales, up from 31 percent in May.</p>
<p>A figure like this hints at the large role foreclosures continue to play in a Seattle home buyer&#8217;s home search strategy.&nbsp; And why not? The National Association of Realtors&reg; suggests that distressed homes are sold at <a title="NAR says distressed homes are sold at 15 percent discount" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/04/ehs_favorable" target="_blank">a 15 percent discount</a>.</p>
<p>Lastly, take note that home inventories are rising. June&#8217;s 8.9 months of supply is the highest in 10 months. Excess supply leads home prices lower, all things equal.</p>
<p>Overall, the Existing Home Sales data from June is a mixed bag. There&#8217;s support for the middle- and upper-price tiers, but a growing overhang of supply. The market looks favorable for buyers given low mortgage rates and strong negotiation leverage.</p>
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		<title>May 2010 Existing Home Sales Is Better Than The Headline Data Suggests</title>
		<link>http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/06/23/existing-home-sales-may-2010/</link>
		<comments>http://www.myequitypro.com/2010/06/23/existing-home-sales-may-2010/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 23 Jun 2010 12:55:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>yourmortgageplanner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[existing home sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Existing Home Sales,Home Supply]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The press is calling the May 2010 drop in Existing Home Sales "unexpected" and disappointing, but a deeper look at the data shows the news isn't as bad as it first appears.


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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><!-- This material is non-exclusively licensed to William Doom and may not be copied, reproduced, or sold in any form whatsoever.-->
<p><img style="float: right; margin-left: 5px; margin-right: 5px;" title="Existing Home Sales May 2009-May 2010" src="http://bringtheblog.com/i/existing-home-sales-201006.png" alt="Existing Home Sales May 2009-May 2010" width="216" height="302" />Existing Home Sales <a title="Existing Home Sales report May 2010" href="http://www.realtor.org/press_room/news_releases/2010/06/may_strong_pace" target="_blank">dropped in May</a> for the first time in 3 months but still managed to post its second-highest since November 2009, buoyed by the expiring federal tax credit program.</p>
<p>An &#8220;existing home&#8221; is a home that cannot be considered new construction; a resale of an existing home.&nbsp; Existing Home Sales fell 2.2 percent in May.</p>
<p>The press is calling the drop in sales &#8220;<a title="Existing Home Sales story May 2010" href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5g-1tVeJh_8kfpMxDH4y9LJAAn-UA" target="_blank">unexpected</a>&#8221; and <a title="Existing Home Sales story May 2010" href="http://www.bankrate.com/financing/federal-reserve/existing-home-sales-disappoint/" target="_blank">disappointing</a>, but a deeper look at the data shows the news isn&#8217;t as bad as it first appears.</p>
<p>First, on a regional basis, sales were mostly solid. Only the Northeast region posted a loss. The West even managed a gain.</p>
<ul>
<li>Northeast : -18.3 percent</li>
<li>Midwest : 0.0 percent</li>
<li>South : +0.5 percent</li>
<li>West : +4.9 percent</li>
</ul>
<p>Second, the supply of homes for sale <a title="Existing Home Sales historical data" href="http://www.realtor.org/ro/research/21582c6c30be1217322cdb9aebaf4a59/rel1005ehs.pdf" target="_blank">dropped to 8.3 in May</a> and, because home prices are based on supply and demand, this is a positive for pricing.</p>
<p>By comparison, in 2008, the average existing home inventory was 10.4 months.</p>
<p>And, lastly, in May, first-time home buyers represented 46 percent of all buyers. The number was likely buoyed by the tax credit program but that doesn&#8217;t damper the fact that first-time buyers provide a support floor for the housing market.&nbsp;</p>
<p>First-time buyers in Gig Harbor enable &#8220;existing owners&#8221; to move-up to bigger homes, which, in turn, trickles up to the mid-size and jumbo markets.</p>
<p>Analysts expected more from May&#8217;s numbers and that may explain why the reaction to the data is generally negative.&nbsp; However, in many cities, home resales did just fine.</p>
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