Posted by yourmortgageplanner in
Economy on 11 24th, 2008 |
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It’s a holiday-shortened week. Fewer traders will be working as the week moves forward, making the Price Discovery process more difficult. With fewer active buyers and sellers, wild price swings are likely and mortgage rates should feel the impact.
Markets will debate the Citigroup Bailout, wondering whether this will (finally) mark the market bottom. It’s a conversation about which Wall Street never tires and with each bit of optimism, money should flow into stocks to the detriment of mortgage bonds and mortgage rates.
There are 9 economic releases crammed into Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday of this week, including two housing reports and an inflationary gauge behind which the Fed puts a lot of credence.
Signs of stabilization should buoy both stock markets and mortgage rates — Wall Street is craving balance of some sort to carry it into the New Year.
There are no Fed speakers scheduled for this week so watch for data and market sentiment to lead the markets. For rate shoppers, this means more rate sheets.
Remember, as a general rule, weaker than expected economic data is good for rates, while positive data causes rates to rise.
Economic Calendar for the Week of November 24 – November 28
|
Date
|
ET
|
Economic Report
|
For
|
Estimate
|
Actual
|
Prior
|
Impact
|
| Mon. November 24 |
10:00
|
Existing Home Sales |
Oct
|
5.05M
|
4.98M
|
5.14M
|
Moderate
|
| Tue. November 25 |
08:30
|
GDP Chain Deflator |
Q3
|
4.2%
|
|
4.2%
|
Moderate
|
| Tue. November 25 |
08:30
|
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) |
Q3
|
-0.6%
|
|
-0.3%
|
Moderate
|
| Tue. November 25 |
10:00
|
Consumer Confidence |
Nov
|
39.5
|
|
38.0
|
Moderate
|
| Wed. November 26 |
08:30
|
Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core PCE |
YOY
|
NA
|
|
2.2%
|
HIGH
|
| Wed. November 26 |
08:30
|
Personal Consumption Expenditures and Core PCE |
Oct
|
NA
|
|
0.2%
|
HIGH
|
| Wed. November 26 |
08:30
|
Personal Spending |
Oct
|
-0.7%
|
|
-0.3%
|
Moderate
|
| Wed. November 26 |
08:30
|
Personal Income |
Oct
|
0.1%
|
|
0.2%
|
Moderate
|
| Wed. November 26 |
08:30
|
Jobless Claims (Initial) |
11/22
|
NA
|
|
542K
|
Moderate
|
| Wed. November 26 |
08:30
|
Durable Goods Orders |
Oct
|
-2.5%
|
|
0.8%
|
Moderate
|
| Wed. November 26 |
09:45
|
Chicago PMI |
Nov
|
38.5
|
|
27.8
|
Moderate
|
| Wed. November 26 |
10:00
|
Consumer Sentiment Index (UoM) |
Nov
|
58.0
|
|
57.9
|
Moderate
|
| Wed. November 26 |
10:00
|
New Home Sales |
Oct
|
450K
|
|
464K
|
Moderate
|
|
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